BEGIN:VCALENDAR PRODID:-//SiteBuilder 2//ÉñÂí¸£ÀûӰƬ ITS Web Team//EN VERSION:2.0 CALSCALE:GREGORIAN METHOD:PUBLISH X-WR-CALNAME:Statistics » Events X-WR-TIMEZONE:Europe/London X-LIC-LOCATION:Europe/London BEGIN:VTIMEZONE TZID:Europe/London LAST-MODIFIED:20201010T011803Z TZURL:http://tzurl.org/zoneinfo/Europe/London X-LIC-LOCATION:Europe/London X-PROLEPTIC-TZNAME:LMT BEGIN:STANDARD TZNAME:GMT TZOFFSETFROM:+000115 TZOFFSETTO:+0000 DTSTART:18471201T000000 END:STANDARD BEGIN:DAYLIGHT TZNAME:BST TZOFFSETFROM:+0000 TZOFFSETTO:+0100 DTSTART:19160521T020000 RDATE:19170408T020000 RDATE:19180324T020000 RDATE:19190330T020000 RDATE:19200328T020000 RDATE:19210403T020000 RDATE:19220326T020000 RDATE:19230422T020000 RDATE:19240413T020000 RDATE:19270410T020000 RDATE:19300413T020000 RDATE:19330409T020000 RDATE:19340422T020000 RDATE:19350414T020000 RDATE:19380410T020000 RDATE:19390416T020000 RDATE:19400225T020000 RDATE:19460414T020000 RDATE:19470316T020000 RDATE:19480314T020000 RDATE:19490403T020000 RDATE:19530419T020000 RDATE:19540411T020000 RDATE:19570414T020000 RDATE:19600410T020000 RDATE:19680218T020000 END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:STANDARD TZNAME:GMT TZOFFSETFROM:+0100 TZOFFSETTO:+0000 DTSTART:19161001T030000 RDATE:19170917T030000 RDATE:19180930T030000 RDATE:19190929T030000 RDATE:19201025T030000 RDATE:19211003T030000 RDATE:19221008T030000 RDATE:19391119T030000 RDATE:19471102T030000 RDATE:19481031T030000 RDATE:19491030T030000 RDATE:19711031T030000 END:STANDARD BEGIN:STANDARD TZNAME:GMT TZOFFSETFROM:+0100 TZOFFSETTO:+0000 DTSTART:19230916T030000 RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;UNTIL=19240921T020000Z;BYMONTH=9;BYMONTHDAY=16,17,18,19 ,20,21,22;BYDAY=SU END:STANDARD BEGIN:DAYLIGHT TZNAME:BST TZOFFSETFROM:+0000 TZOFFSETTO:+0100 DTSTART:19250419T020000 RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;UNTIL=19260418T020000Z;BYMONTH=4;BYMONTHDAY=16,17,18,19 ,20,21,22;BYDAY=SU END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:STANDARD TZNAME:GMT TZOFFSETFROM:+0100 TZOFFSETTO:+0000 DTSTART:19251004T030000 RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;UNTIL=19381002T020000Z;BYMONTH=10;BYMONTHDAY=2,3,4,5,6, 7,8;BYDAY=SU END:STANDARD BEGIN:DAYLIGHT TZNAME:BST TZOFFSETFROM:+0000 TZOFFSETTO:+0100 DTSTART:19280422T020000 RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;UNTIL=19290421T020000Z;BYMONTH=4;BYMONTHDAY=16,17,18,19 ,20,21,22;BYDAY=SU END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:DAYLIGHT TZNAME:BST TZOFFSETFROM:+0000 TZOFFSETTO:+0100 DTSTART:19310419T020000 RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;UNTIL=19320417T020000Z;BYMONTH=4;BYMONTHDAY=16,17,18,19 ,20,21,22;BYDAY=SU END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:DAYLIGHT TZNAME:BST TZOFFSETFROM:+0000 TZOFFSETTO:+0100 DTSTART:19360419T020000 RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;UNTIL=19370418T020000Z;BYMONTH=4;BYMONTHDAY=16,17,18,19 ,20,21,22;BYDAY=SU END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:DAYLIGHT TZNAME:BDST TZOFFSETFROM:+0100 TZOFFSETTO:+0200 DTSTART:19410504T020000 RDATE:19450402T020000 RDATE:19470413T020000 END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:DAYLIGHT TZNAME:BST TZOFFSETFROM:+0200 TZOFFSETTO:+0100 DTSTART:19410810T030000 RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;UNTIL=19430815T010000Z;BYMONTH=8;BYMONTHDAY=9,10,11,12, 13,14,15;BYDAY=SU END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:DAYLIGHT TZNAME:BDST TZOFFSETFROM:+0100 TZOFFSETTO:+0200 DTSTART:19420405T020000 RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;UNTIL=19440402T010000Z;BYMONTH=4;BYMONTHDAY=2,3,4,5,6,7 ,8;BYDAY=SU END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:DAYLIGHT TZNAME:BST TZOFFSETFROM:+0200 TZOFFSETTO:+0100 DTSTART:19440917T030000 RDATE:19450715T030000 RDATE:19470810T030000 END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:STANDARD TZNAME:GMT TZOFFSETFROM:+0100 TZOFFSETTO:+0000 DTSTART:19451007T030000 RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;UNTIL=19461006T020000Z;BYMONTH=10;BYMONTHDAY=2,3,4,5,6, 7,8;BYDAY=SU END:STANDARD BEGIN:DAYLIGHT TZNAME:BST TZOFFSETFROM:+0000 TZOFFSETTO:+0100 DTSTART:19500416T020000 RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;UNTIL=19520420T020000Z;BYMONTH=4;BYMONTHDAY=14,15,16,17 ,18,19,20;BYDAY=SU END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:STANDARD TZNAME:GMT TZOFFSETFROM:+0100 TZOFFSETTO:+0000 DTSTART:19501022T030000 RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;UNTIL=19521026T020000Z;BYMONTH=10;BYMONTHDAY=21,22,23,2 4,25,26,27;BYDAY=SU END:STANDARD BEGIN:STANDARD TZNAME:GMT TZOFFSETFROM:+0100 TZOFFSETTO:+0000 DTSTART:19531004T030000 RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;UNTIL=19601002T020000Z;BYMONTH=10;BYMONTHDAY=2,3,4,5,6, 7,8;BYDAY=SU END:STANDARD BEGIN:DAYLIGHT TZNAME:BST TZOFFSETFROM:+0000 TZOFFSETTO:+0100 DTSTART:19550417T020000 RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;UNTIL=19560422T020000Z;BYMONTH=4;BYMONTHDAY=16,17,18,19 ,20,21,22;BYDAY=SU END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:DAYLIGHT TZNAME:BST TZOFFSETFROM:+0000 TZOFFSETTO:+0100 DTSTART:19580420T020000 RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;UNTIL=19590419T020000Z;BYMONTH=4;BYMONTHDAY=16,17,18,19 ,20,21,22;BYDAY=SU END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:DAYLIGHT TZNAME:BST TZOFFSETFROM:+0000 TZOFFSETTO:+0100 DTSTART:19610326T020000 RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;UNTIL=19630331T020000Z;BYMONTH=3;BYDAY=-1SU END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:STANDARD TZNAME:GMT TZOFFSETFROM:+0100 TZOFFSETTO:+0000 DTSTART:19611029T030000 RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;UNTIL=19671029T020000Z;BYMONTH=10;BYMONTHDAY=23,24,25,2 6,27,28,29;BYDAY=SU END:STANDARD BEGIN:DAYLIGHT TZNAME:BST TZOFFSETFROM:+0000 TZOFFSETTO:+0100 DTSTART:19640322T020000 RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;UNTIL=19670319T020000Z;BYMONTH=3;BYMONTHDAY=19,20,21,22 ,23,24,25;BYDAY=SU END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:STANDARD TZNAME:BST TZOFFSETFROM:+0100 TZOFFSETTO:+0100 DTSTART:19681026T230000 END:STANDARD BEGIN:DAYLIGHT TZNAME:BST TZOFFSETFROM:+0000 TZOFFSETTO:+0100 DTSTART:19720319T020000 RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;UNTIL=19800316T020000Z;BYMONTH=3;BYMONTHDAY=16,17,18,19 ,20,21,22;BYDAY=SU END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:STANDARD TZNAME:GMT TZOFFSETFROM:+0100 TZOFFSETTO:+0000 DTSTART:19721029T030000 RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;UNTIL=19801026T020000Z;BYMONTH=10;BYMONTHDAY=23,24,25,2 6,27,28,29;BYDAY=SU END:STANDARD BEGIN:DAYLIGHT TZNAME:BST TZOFFSETFROM:+0000 TZOFFSETTO:+0100 DTSTART:19810329T010000 RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;BYMONTH=3;BYDAY=-1SU END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:STANDARD TZNAME:GMT TZOFFSETFROM:+0100 TZOFFSETTO:+0000 DTSTART:19811025T020000 RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;UNTIL=19891029T010000Z;BYMONTH=10;BYMONTHDAY=23,24,25,2 6,27,28,29;BYDAY=SU END:STANDARD BEGIN:STANDARD TZNAME:GMT TZOFFSETFROM:+0100 TZOFFSETTO:+0000 DTSTART:19901028T020000 RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;UNTIL=19951022T010000Z;BYMONTH=10;BYDAY=4SU END:STANDARD BEGIN:STANDARD TZNAME:GMT TZOFFSETFROM:+0000 TZOFFSETTO:+0000 DTSTART:19960101T000000 END:STANDARD BEGIN:STANDARD TZNAME:GMT TZOFFSETFROM:+0100 TZOFFSETTO:+0000 DTSTART:19961027T020000 RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;BYMONTH=10;BYDAY=-1SU END:STANDARD END:VTIMEZONE BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTAMP:20260608T124033Z DTSTART;VALUE=DATE:20260708 DURATION:P3D SUMMARY:Compositional Foundations of Statistics & Machine learning Worksh op UID:20260708-8ac672c49c40937a019c4809264c18dd@warwick.ac.uk CREATED:20260306T132951Z DESCRIPTION: LOCATION:B3.03 (Zeeman) URL:/fac/sci/statistics/news/compositional-foundatio ns-of-stats-and-ml2026/ ATTACH:/fac/sci/statistics/news/compositional-founda tions-of-stats-and-ml2026/ CATEGORIES:Workshops,CRiSM Workshops,CRiSM LAST-MODIFIED:20260306T132951Z ORGANIZER;CN=Kathrin Schutrumpf: END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTAMP:20260608T124033Z DTSTART;VALUE=DATE-TIME:20270419T090000 DTEND;VALUE=DATE-TIME:20270423T150000 SUMMARY:UK Easter Probability Meeting TZID:Europe/London UID:20270419-8ac672c59c03dd43019c09bf20090f5b@warwick.ac.uk CREATED:20260129T123406Z DESCRIPTION: LOCATION:TBC URL: ATTACH: CATEGORIES:Workshops,CRiSM LAST-MODIFIED:20260129T123406Z ORGANIZER;CN=Kathrin Schutrumpf: END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTAMP:20260608T124033Z DTSTART;VALUE=DATE:20260629 DURATION:P5D SUMMARY:Statistics Summer School at Warwick 2026 UID:20260629-8ac672c699936d39019994c8b2bd0520@warwick.ac.uk CREATED:20251202T161338Z DESCRIPTION:LMS Research Summer School in Robust Statistics and Reliable Learning Algorithms Following on from the success of the P@W Summer Scho olLink opens in a new window in 2025\, the LMS Research Summer School in Robust Statistics and Reliable Learning Algorithms will be held at the ÉñÂí¸£ÀûӰƬ from the 29th June to 3rd July 2026. We gratefully acknowledge support from the London Mathematical Society and CRiSM. The ambition of the summer school is to expose PhD students and early-caree r researchers to research themes at the forefront of robust statistics\, broadly interpreted. It will feature three lecture courses and plenary talks by the world's leading experts in the field\, covering topics such as: conformal prediction and distribution-free inference\, algorithmic robustness and stability\, differential privacy and data contamination. There will also be the opportunity for attendees to present their work\, social events and a summer school dinner. LOCATION:ÉñÂí¸£ÀûӰƬ\, Zeeman Building\, MS.03 URL:/fac/sci/statistics/news/summerschool2026/ ATTACH:/fac/sci/statistics/news/summerschool2026/ CATEGORIES:Workshops,CRiSM Workshops,CRiSM LAST-MODIFIED:20251202T161338Z ORGANIZER;CN=Kathrin Schutrumpf: END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTAMP:20260608T124033Z DTSTART;VALUE=DATE-TIME:20260528T140000 DTEND;VALUE=DATE-TIME:20260528T150000 SUMMARY:CRiSM colloquium - Nicholas Polson TZID:Europe/London UID:20260528-8ac672c69c8a6b40019c8f08bc590b26@warwick.ac.uk CREATED:20260507T114340Z DESCRIPTION:Chess has long been a proving ground for AI and statistical r easoning. This talk takes a Bayesian look at two recent flashpoints in e lite play. The centerpiece is joint work with Shiva Maharaj (Chess Ed) a nd Vadim Sokolov (George Mason) on the 2023 Kramnik–Nakamura controversy \, in which former world champion Vladimir Kramnik publicly questioned H ikaru Nakamura’s 45.5 out of 46 streak in 3+0 online blitz on chess.com. Combining Anand’s prior on the prevalence of online cheating with the s treak evidence\, we compute a posterior of roughly 99.6% that Nakamura d id not cheat. The case study illustrates two classic fallacies — the Pro secutor’s Fallacy on Kramnik’s side\, and a misuse of cherry-picking tha t violates the likelihood principle on Nakamura’s side — and connects to the broader literature on fraud detection and streaks in sports. I will then survey related work with the same group: a Brownian-motion model f or the probability that Magnus Carlsen reaches an Elo of 2900 and its im plications for the K-factor\; a neural-network valuation of (piece\, squ are) combinations\; and a comparison of Stockfish and Leela Chess Zero a s competing paradigms — handcrafted search versus deep reinforcement lea rning — through Plaskett’s endgame study. LOCATION:MB0.07 CATEGORIES:Colloquium,CRiSM LAST-MODIFIED:20260507T114340Z ORGANIZER;CN=Kathrin Schutrumpf: END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTAMP:20260608T124033Z DTSTART;VALUE=DATE-TIME:20260610T140000 DTEND;VALUE=DATE-TIME:20260610T150000 SUMMARY:CRiSM colloquium - Bin Yu TZID:Europe/London UID:20260610-8ac672c69c8a6b40019c8f143d1e0cba@warwick.ac.uk CREATED:20260224T095634Z DESCRIPTION:tbc LOCATION:B3.03 URL:/fac/sci/statistics/news/crismcolloquium/ ATTACH:/fac/sci/statistics/news/crismcolloquium/ CATEGORIES:Colloquium,CRiSM LAST-MODIFIED:20260224T095634Z ORGANIZER;CN=Kathrin Schutrumpf: END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTAMP:20260608T124033Z DTSTART;VALUE=DATE-TIME:20260622T130000 DTEND;VALUE=DATE-TIME:20260624T140000 SUMMARY:ProbAI Theory of Scaling Laws Workshop 2026 TZID:Europe/London UID:20260622-8ac672c79add3b14019adfd4a90a0914@warwick.ac.uk CREATED:20260128T171124Z DESCRIPTION:Overview Modern neural networks operate at unprecedented scal es across model size\, data and compute. A central research problem is t o understand how their performance scales with these factors\, which gui des how networks can be trained optimally at scale. In recent years\, em pirical heuristics for scaling have arguably driven much of the success of Large Language Models (LLMs). Theoretical work on scaling laws has al so seen much fruitful progress\, shedding light on empirical phenomena s uch as model collapse\, emergence and training stability\, while providi ng concrete practical insights on techniques such as hyperparameter tuni ng. This three-day workshop will bring together researchers working at t he frontiers of theoretical scaling laws to share their insights about t he field. The workshop will be the first of its kind in the UK\, inspire d by successes of similar workshops in the US and Europe. The first half of the workshop consists of introductory tutorials\, with the aim of eq uipping attendees with basic tools for framing and understanding problem s in this field\; The second half will feature talks on latest research advances. The aim is for researchers across academia and industry to lea rn about and participate in this active field of research\, which has se en many fruitful empirical outcomes. LOCATION:ÉñÂí¸£ÀûӰƬ\, Zeeman Building\, MS.01 URL:/fac/sci/statistics/news/probai-scaling-laws-202 6/ ATTACH:/fac/sci/statistics/news/probai-scaling-laws- 2026/ CATEGORIES:Workshops,CRiSM Workshops,Applied Probability,CRiSM LAST-MODIFIED:20260128T171124Z ORGANIZER;CN=Kathrin Schutrumpf: END:VEVENT END:VCALENDAR